Next wave of 8 cities in China’s property market (video)-www.40sqw.com

The next wave of soaring property market Chinese May 8 city August national property warming hot city to restart the purchase credit limit were from a second tier city real estate WeChat public number (ID:fangchanguancha12) Note: the property market funds is spillover from strong second tier city, in the eastern part of the core city and surrounding the Midwest Regional center of the city, looking for new investment export. By this time, the wheels of housing prices will change direction again. House prices rose in the second half of last year, the first sounded the clarion call Shenzhen, then Shanghai and Beijing. This year, the rise in Shanghai and Shenzhen than Beijing, is the "four dragons", namely, Nanjing, Suzhou, Xiamen and Hefei. Beijing Shanghai Shenzhen and the "four dragons" have started varying degrees of administrative regulation. They’re going to go up, but they’re going to shrink. Next, let’s look at the first question: a new round of housing prices, urban wheels have been full of horsepower, which cities may begin to relay boom? 1, the expansion of the main city of Chongqing and the relocation of indigenous residents, the relocation of the north, the construction of satellite towns, will reserve strong demand for new Chongqing. The final completion of through traffic artery will make Chongqing a tiger with wings added. 2, the real estate of Ji’nan springs seems to be weaker than the landscape reconstruction and transplantation, but has not been warm. The only reason for optimism is that she is the capital city of Shandong, and Weihai, Qingdao and other waterfront cities, foreign investment, home gradually saturated. 3, the economic development zone of Xincheng District of Wuhan New District will eliminate its chronic illness and complete its rebirth in the construction process of Wuhan Hubei Urban agglomeration. Wuhan’s capacity, attraction, economic pulling force and radiation effect on the surrounding nine counties and cities can not be compared with other cities. The soft environment restricting the development of Wuhan is an important reason for the current economic connotation is not firm. But still optimistic about Wuhan as the center of central China, the central city of the huge potential of real estate. System development in Binjiang area, the central business circle formally voted to build a substantive start three area planning, a virtuous cycle of education industrialization, will make Wuhan talent return, satellite city reconstruction, new economic base. 4, Mianyang is not only a Changhong, but also the whole west sichuan. When Chengdu is a domestic consumer city, Mianyang’s future is already on the table. Mianyang is also associated with special industries, special climatic conditions, special talent demand and real estate development. 5, the Weihai average price rose one thousand yuan for the shortest time in the city, Weihai has its name; health city often list; three line Binhai, the Airlines Hainan Airlines convenience; focus on the development of the west coast of Yantai; and cage traffic construction; Weihai attractive to both at home and abroad, will make Weihai real estate change. 6, Zhongshan, Zhongshan, Guangzhou footsteps may imagine its real estate tomorrow. Moreover, Zhongshan’s economic infrastructure, investment environment, policies, economic construction, the existing base of overseas Chinese overseas funds which, compared with the year of the Guangzhou ifheavier. 7, Yichang as the battle to destroy the Guangxi, as chairman of the strategy to realize the "high gap Pinghu" ambition, as "have sailed the seven seas" and "the exception of Wushan, the northwest of Hubei as the leader, as a scenic area of Yichang has been in hot pursuit of well-educated and trained in military exercises, Wuhan, Wuhan today is Yichang tomorrow! Give her patience for three years. 8, Xi’an energy-saving, have.

中国楼市下一波可能暴涨的8个城市 8月全国楼市升温 热点城市重启限购限贷 转自微信公众号 一二线城市地产观察(ID:fangchanguancha12)编者按:楼市资金正在从“强二线城市”外溢,在东部核心城市周边和中西部区域中心城市,寻找新的投资出口。到了这个时候,房价猛涨的轮子,又要变方向了。去年下半年至今的房价上涨,最先吹响号角的是深圳,然后是上海和北京。今年以来,比京沪深涨得还猛的,是“四小龙”,即南京、苏州、厦门和合肥。京沪深和“四小龙”,都已经启动了不同程度的行政调控。它们还会涨,但涨幅将收窄。接下来我们来看第一个问题:新一轮的房价城市轮动已经开足马力,哪些城市有可能开始接力暴涨?1、重庆主城扩容及土著居民外迁、北迁,卫星城镇的建设,均将为新重庆储备超强的需求力量。贯通交通动脉的最终建成将使重庆如虎添翼。2、济南泉城的房地产好象弱于景观再造与移植而一直不温不火。看好的唯一理由就是她是山东省会城市,并且威海、青岛等滨水城市吞吐外来投资置业日趋饱和。3、武汉新区新城开发区经济发展区在武鄂城市群建设过程中将消除其痼疾,完成重生。武汉对周边九县市的吞吐力、吸引力、经济拉动力与幅射效应其他城市不可与之比拟。制约武汉发展的软环境是现经济内涵不坚不挺的重要原因。但仍看好武汉作为华中重镇、中部重镇房地产的巨大潜能。滨江地带的系统开发,中央商务圈的正式投建,三区规划的实质启动,教育产业化的良性循环,均将使得武汉发生人才回流,卫星城再造,基地经济吐故纳新。4、绵阳不只一个长虹,还有整个川西。当成都作为国内的消费型城市时,绵阳的明天就已谱就。绵阳还连带因为特殊工业、特殊的气候条件、特殊的人才需求而致房地产获得大发展。5、威海均价上涨一千元用时最短的城市,威海有其名;卫生城市屡屡上榜;三线滨海,空航海航的便利;西海岸的重点开发;与烟台合笼的交通建设;威海对国内外的吸引力,均将使得威海的房地产发生质变 。6、中山中山步广州后尘就可能想象其房地产的明天。何况中山的经济基础、投资环境、政策力度、现有基地经济建设、侨资海外资金的厚势,较之当年的广州有过之而无不及。7、宜昌作为战役消灭桂系,作为战略实现主席“高峡出平湖”的夙愿,作为“曾经沧海”而又“除却巫山”,作为鄂西北的龙头,作为文武兼备型景区,宜昌一直紧追武汉,武汉的今天就是宜昌的明天!耐心给她三年时间。 8、西安一骑红尘妃子笑,有人知是荔枝来。一条耗血交通线让咸(阳)西(安)宝(鸡)连为一体而西安则左右逢源。西安将在资金不断流动的基础上迎来其房地产的春天。囿于北部水质问题的影响,西安将向咸阳方面发展。用地限制一直制约了西安向国际性大都市发展。但正如物极必反,这也催生了西安新一轮房地产的大发展,并以曲江地区点燃战火。下面来看看第二个问题:房价都涨成这样了,还要不要买房?还要不要买房?我只想用几个最典型的例子,来讲几个最朴素的真实面,我认为这些真实被有意无意的忽视了。1、第一个,是美国123年的房价史。卡尔.凯斯和罗伯特.席勒编制了著名的Case-Shiller房价指数——席勒是2013年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者,就是那个老是看空中国房价的人。这个指数说:在美国1890-2013年长达123年的历史中,下跌的年头是28年,上涨的年头是95年,跌幅最深的一次是2008年,-18%。连续下跌达到5年的只有两次,一次是1929-1933年的大萧条时代,累计跌幅是26%。一次是2007-2011年的金融风暴时代,累计跌幅是33%。整体上,美国的房价在过去的100多年中的年平均增长率约为3%,略高于美国2.8%的通胀率。这123年中,美国出现三次十年累积涨幅超过100%的大牛市,分别是在1938-1954年、1969-1986年、1995-2007年。2、第二个,是东京半个多世纪的房价史日本的故事大家都很清楚了,太多人拿中国楼市和日本楼市对比了,2009年之后,网上流传的那个中日楼市泡沫对比图,都很清晰的把崩盘时间都预测出来了,可惜没兑现。简单说吧:日本房价是在1985年广场协议之后,开始出现赶顶的。大约1991年开始崩盘,到大约2005年到底,最大跌幅达到70%,房价又回到了20年前也就是广场协议那一年。但你们只看到日本泡沫破灭后痛苦的经历了"失去的20年",但同样不能忽视的是,在"失去的20年"之前,日本GDP从1960年代开始便保持了每年高达10%的经济增长。房价从1960年代甚至更早就已经开始腾飞,基本是一直飞到1990年代,前后经历了超过30年的楼市繁荣,日本六大城市地价上涨了56.1倍。这也是事实。3、第三个,是香港30多年的房价史香港在97年亚洲金融风暴期间,房价暴跌了一半以上,一直跌到2003年SARS危机,连跌5年,东京和香港房价跌起来的劲爆,比纽约流弊多了。但问题是,你看亚洲金融风暴之前和SARS危机之后,香港房价涨了多少年?亚洲金融风暴之前,香港房价也有好几次牛市熊市,但基本都是"小熊大牛"。从1980年到1997年前夕,17年的大周期里基本都是在上涨,涨幅有8-9倍。2003年之后到今天,也是10多年,房价也基本是一直在上涨,中间有调整也是小幅度,整体也房价早已超过了1997年的高点,去年均价大约到了9万元 平方米。全球最贵的分层住宅价格,一直都要靠香港来刷新。这也是事实。中国楼市从2002年起,就不断有专家告诫我们:楼市要崩盘了,不要买房。结果房价涨了10几年,崩盘还是没有等来,倒是自己离房子越来越远了。所以我们得出的结论是,与其讨论泡沫,不如去拥抱泡沫,关键是看懂趋势,抓住时机。版权保护声明:腾讯财经选发有优质传播价值的内容,我们极其尊重优质原创内容的版权,如所选内容未能联系到原文作者本人,请作者和bigson(微信)联系。免责声明:本文来自腾讯新闻客户端自媒体,不代表腾讯新闻的观点和立场。 更多精彩内容欢迎搜索关注微信公众号:腾讯财经(financeapp)。相关的主题文章: